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Articles By Trevor

Predictably Inaccurate

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Data. The more the merrier, right? The ‘big data’ hype has everyone talking about the volume, velocity, and variety of data – and for good reason. The benefits of using data to solve organization and societal problems have been far reaching, the extent of which remains to be seen. But blindly collecting, purchasing, or retaining

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Amos: 2016 NFL Predictor

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Find the 2017 season here HERE. UPDATE: I’ve moved the 2016 AMOS model to a more permanent page, along with a revamp of the dashboard. Please keep up with the season HERE. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos takes into account 224

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Atlas: MLB Predictor

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Atlas is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each MLB game. Atlas currently predicts MLB games straight-up. To predict, Atlas uses 12 variables from each team and an additional 6 situational variables to calculate the probabilities below. The team variables include the number of games a team has played, the win percentage

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NFL 2015 Super Bowl Prediction

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Amos falls short two games and the rest of the models have a perfect record for the divisional round. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending

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NFL 2015 Conference Predictions

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Amos falls short two games and the rest of the models have a perfect record for the divisional round. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending

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NFL 2015 Divisional Predictions

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Amos, along with Elo and FPI, capture all but one of the Wildcard games. Bing’s prediction of Washington trumping Green Bay falls through. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season

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NFL 2015 Wildcard Predictions

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The regular season is over. The model standings are in. and Amos and Microsoft’s Bing tied for second. Elo taking a firm lead of seven games over Amos and Bing. FPI came in last, with three games behind Amos and Bing. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes

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NFL 2015 Week 17 Predictions

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As we enter into the last week of predictions for the regular season, I’d like to thank all of the readers keeping up with the models and the great season. Amos will continue into the post season through the Super Bowl so be sure to check back. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical

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NFL 2015 Week 16 Predictions

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An explosive week for Amos. Amos grabs spot number 2, trailing Elo by 5 games on the season. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record

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NFL 2015 Week 15 Predictions

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FPI comes out on top for the week, the other models tie for second. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team. Amos

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NFL 2015 Week 14 Predictions

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Amos comes out on top for Week 13, which Amos also tied for first in Week 11 and took the lead again in Week 10, landing itself just one behind Microsoft Bing and two ahead of ESPN’s FPI. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL

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NFL 2015 Week 13 Predictions

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Amos loses further ground to Bing by 1 game and Elo takes the top performance for the week. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record

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NFL 2015 Week 12 Predictions

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Amos was the top perform last week, and now Amos ties for top performer with Nate Silver’s Elo and ESPN’s FPI. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute

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NFL 2015 Week 11 Predictions

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There you have it folks, while a rather underwhelming week for all models, Amos claims its first top performing week. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the

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NFL 2015 Week 10 Predictions

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The 2015 NFL season now has 9 weeks under its belt and it’s time to see how Amos has done this season against a broader view of prediction models, as well as how Amos has performed compared to the previous season’s Bischoff model. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict

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NFL 2015 Week 9 Predictions

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Holy Bing! Amos drops to third place after explosive performance by Bing. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team. Amos also has

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NFL 2015 Week 8 Predictions

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Amos and Nate Silver’s Elo tie for the week, and Bing regains some lost ground. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team.

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NFL 2015 Week 7 Predictions

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Amos overtakes FPI for second place and Elo extends its lead 1 more game. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team. Amos

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NFL 2015 Week 6 Predictions

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Amos comes off a great week, but so do the rest of the models. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team. Amos

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NFL 2015 Week 5 Predictions

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Amos had an average week, beating out Microsoft’s Bing (Cortana), but falling one behind Nate Silver’s Elo and ESPN’s FPI. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the

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NFL 2015 Week 4 Predictions

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Amos retains tie for the lead, and ESPN’s FPI flexes an additional win for the week to make it a three-way tie. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to

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NFL 2015 Week 3 Predictions

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Week 2 is in the books and Amos had a great week. Sort of. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team. Amos

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NFL 2015 Week 2 Predictions

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Week 1 is in the books and now Amos has some new 2015 data. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team. Amos

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NFL 2015 Week 1 Predictions

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With the first NFL game of the 2015 season less than 48 hours away, here are the Week 1 game predictions. For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each of NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to

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2014 NFL Season Review & 2015 Updates

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Football season is upon us. September 10th at 8:30 PM EST New England and Pittsburgh will open the NFL regular season. This season I will continue to predict NFL outcomes, which you can find from this site every week. However, as we enter into the 2015 football season, I thought it appropriate to review last season

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Robinhood Saving The Poor Again… With Technology

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Robin Hood may not be stealing from the rich to give to the poor residents of Nottingham, but the less wealthy may still be better off with a new tech start up. Most trading platforms perform buying and selling transactions at a fee to the investor, sometimes referred to as trading commissions, in which each

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What’s The Data Behind Patricia Arquette’s Speech?

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Let me preface this with saying I would never use celebrities as a source of political opinion, but if you were, make sure you know exactly what’s behind it. One of the most talked about Oscar acceptance speeches yesterday was from Patricia Arquette, for winning Best Supporting Actress, gaining much of the attention for stating that

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NFL Picks Superbowl

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All three models correctly picked the Conference Championship winners as New England and Seattle get set to play in the 49th Superbowl. However there is less parity between the models this week on who will be taking home the trophy on February 1st. For those just joining, the Bischoff model, Microsoft’s Cortana, and Nate Silver’s Elo

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NFL Week 20 Picks

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Due to the all three models having identical predictions on Week 19, all the models came out even at predicting 3 out of 4 games correctly. The only upset being Indianapolis’ fierce performance against Denver. It is also important to note Green Bay’s win over Dallas was a rocky one, with split views of the

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NFL Week 19 Picks

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The Bischoff model had a rough starting week for the playoffs, predicting only half of the games with the model picking up Arizona’s past success in the season and the upset at Pittsburgh.. The two peer models, Microsoft’s Cortana and Nate Silver’s Elo, both had the same predictions and lost the Baltimore upset over Pittsburgh

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NFL Week 18 Picks

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The Bischoff Model ended with great a season, correctly picking 172 games for the 2014 year. Comparing itself for its main peer, Nate Silver’s Elo, it was just 4 games behind with Elo predicting 176 correct games. Microsoft’s Cortana lagged a little behind with only correctly predicting 170 correct games. To Cortana’s credit, it did

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NFL Week 17 Picks

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The Bischoff model came out of Week 16 with its worst week of predictions since Week 2, predicting just 7 out of 16 games (43.8%), nearly half from the previous week where it predicted 13 out of 16 games (81.3%). Nonetheless, the Bischoff model still has continued to keep up with its peers. Nate Silver’s

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NFL Week 16 Picks

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Week 15 resulted in the Bischoff model’s 4th highest pick percentage of 81.3%, correctly picking 13 out of 16 of last weeks games. The model’s other prediction percentages  still beating this week’s are Week 5 (93.3%), Week 6 (86.7%) and Week 12 (86.7%). The model moves to 155-68-1 on the season (69.4%). Microsoft Cortana saw

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NFL Week 15 Picks

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Week 14 outcomes have provided a flip in the Bischoff and Nate Silver’s Elo model. Bischoff model only hitting a 62.5% while Nate Silver’s Elo boasts a 81.3%. Microsoft’s Cortana falls even farther behind with a 56.3%. This allowed Nate Silver’s Elo to regain the top spot by one game. Here are those outcomes: Moving

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NFL Week 14 Picks

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While the model’s this week did not come out on an impressive note, this week does hold some important implications. This week the Bischoff model (132-59-1) has surpassed Nate Silver’s Elo model (131-60-1) on season picks, which was realized on Thanksgiving through the picks of Philadelphia and Seattle.  Meanwhile Microsoft’s Cortana (126-65-1) is still struggling

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This Definitely Won’t Happen To Mark Sanchez Today

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The best day of the year. “Chase, isn’t it still November?” – you, most likely. No, Christmas Day isn’t here, but Thanksgiving Day is and that means two things: Endless amounts of awesome food and football nearly non-stop. Probably one of my top five days along with St. Patty’s in Bowling Green, Ohio and whenever

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NFL Week 13 Picks

Last week the Bischoff model strayed from Nate Silver’s Elo and Microsoft’s Cortana model in key games. These games proved to be the deciding factor in giving the Bischoff model a large leap forward. Here are the outcomes from Week 12: Arizona’s loss was a hit to the Bischoff model, however Cleveland’s win and Baltimore’s

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NFL Week 12 Picks

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With strong leaders emerging through the previous weeks such as Arizona, the outlook for the 2014 playoffs are still open as ever. Well, besides Oakland, who has yet to find a win this year. But Oakland isn’t the only one that may be hurting after this week… The Bischoff NFL model is coming off of

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Week 11 Model Predictions

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All three models performed relatively well for week 10. Nate Silver’s Elo and Microsoft’s Cortana both coming in at 69.2% accurate and the Bischoff model hitting 76%. Moving into week 11 there are some strong differences between the Bischoff model and the other two. Most notably Minnesota at Chicago, Philadelphia at Green Bay, and Atlanta

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