NFL 2015 Conference Predictions
Amos falls short two games and the rest of the models have a perfect record for the divisional round.
For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team.
Amos also has peers within the NFL prediction field. While there are a number of sources for game predictions, I have identified Microsoft’s Bing Prediction (Cortana), ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) and Nate Silver’s Elo as benchmarks for comparison to Amos.
While not surprising, it looks like the big game this Sunday will be the New England vs Denver Game, as it has the models split down the middle.
For the earlier match-up, Amos and Bing both have New England over Denver, while FPI and Elo both have Denver overtaking New England.
Later on that evening, Amos has Arizona over Caroline (66%), while the rest of the models have Carolina taking home the NFC Championship.
Amos has also predicted the rest of the playoffs up to the Super Bowl 50.
Week 1: 11-5
Week 2: 9-7
Week 3: 11-5
Week 4: 9-6
Week 5: 10-4
Week 6: 10-4
Week 7: 9-5
Week 8: 10-4
Week 9: 7-6
Week 11: 10-4
Week 12: 9-7
Week 13: 11-5
Week 14: 9-7
Week 15: 14-2
Week 16: 7-9
Week 17: 9-7
Super Bowl: Prediction
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