NFL 2015 Divisional Predictions

NFL 2015 Divisional Predictions

Amos, along with Elo and FPI, capture all but one of the Wildcard games. Bing’s prediction of Washington trumping Green Bay falls through.

For those just joining, Amos is a statistical model created to predict the outcomes of each NFL game. Amos currently predicts games straight-up. Additionally, Amos then predicts the remainder of the season to compute the ending record of each team.

Amos also has peers within the NFL prediction field. While there are a number of sources for game predictions, I have identified Microsoft’s Bing Prediction (Cortana), ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) and Nate Silver’s Elo as benchmarks for comparison to Amos.

Divisional Picks

Amos deviates from the rest of the models, which are in complete agreement. Amos is predicting Pittsburgh to overtake Denver (55%) and Seattle to overtake the almost undefeated Carolina Panthers (67%).

Amos has also predicted the rest of the playoffs up to the Super Bowl 50.

Playoff Picture2

Week 1: 11-5

Week 2: 9-7

Week 3: 11-5

Week 4: 9-6

Week 5: 10-4

Week 6: 10-4

Week 7: 9-5

Week 8: 10-4

Week 9: 7-6

HALFTIME REPORT & Week 10: 5-9

Week 11: 10-4

Week 12: 9-7

Week 13: 11-5

Week 14: 9-7

Week 15: 14-2

Week 16: 7-9

Week 17: 9-7

Wildcards: 3-1

Divisional: 2-2

Conference: 0-2

Super Bowl: Predictions

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