NFL Picks Superbowl

All three models correctly picked the Conference Championship winners as New England and Seattle get set to play in the 49th Superbowl. However there is less parity between the models this week on who will be taking home the trophy on February 1st.

For those just joining, the Bischoff model, Microsoft’s Cortana, and Nate Silver’s Elo are all statistical models created for predicting NFL games. During the regular season, Elo led the models with correctly predicting 176 games, Bischoff came in 2nd with 172 games, and Cortana predicted 170.

Both teams have had a fantastic season, both going 12-4. The composition of those wins are very different however.

New England racking up 468 points on their opponents while Seattle didn’t even break the 400 mark with 394, a differential of 74 points. While impressive, New England only sits in 4th place in most points – trailing behind Green Bay Denver and Philadelphia.

On the defensive side, New England let opponents score 313 points on them, placing them 8th in the league. Seattle on the hand only allowed their opponents to score 254 points during the season, wildly boasting 1st place, with 2nd place being 27 points away, pushing the defense point differential between the two teams to 59.

Once again, both teams accomplished a lot this season and the Superbowl is promising to be quite the show. Let’s see what the models have picked:

Bischoff: Seattle

Elo: Seattle

Cortana: New England