NFL Week 18 Picks

NFL Week 18 Picks

The Bischoff Model ended with great a season, correctly picking 172 games for the 2014 year. Comparing itself for its main peer, Nate Silver’s Elo, it was just 4 games behind with Elo predicting 176 correct games. Microsoft’s Cortana lagged a little behind with only correctly predicting 170 correct games. To Cortana’s credit, it did a great job the last 3 weeks, tying the Bischoff model in Week 15 and leading the pack the Week 16 as well as Week 17.

Here are the final outcomes of the regular season.

Week 17 Outcomes

I was not planning on going into the playoffs with predictions, however due to everyone’s interest (not that it took much convincing), I figured I’d continue and see how the Bischoff model stood up to the other two models.

Microsoft’s Cortana and Nate Silver’s Elo agree on all of the games, however the Bischoff model disagrees on the Arizona at Carolina, which is probably due to Arizona’s superb success at the beginning of the year that the Bischoff model is still picking up.

Here are the full predictions.

Week 18 Predictions


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